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Continued Improvement in Construction Activity Expected in 2013-14

Gains in commercial projects expected to outpace improvement for institutional and industrial buildings


Construction activity in the commercial sector is expected to improve about 9 percent in 2013 followed by almost 11 percent in 2014.

Market forecasters are increasingly optimistic recent gains in non-residential construction activity will be sustained, and the growth momentum in spending will continue to build as we move through 2013 and 2014.

The most recent forecasts, compiled by the American Institute of Architects (AIA) Consensus Construction Forecast Panel, show spending growth of 5 percent in 2013 accelerating to 7.2 percent in 2014.

Activity in the commercial subsector is expected to lead the upturn, with predicted improvement of about 9 percent in 2013 followed by almost 11 percent in 2014.

Spending for industrial buildings is predicted to grow at about the same rate as the average for the overall non-residential sector over 2013-2014, while activity is expected to expand more slowly for work on institutional buildings (with a significant share of these projects dependent upon funding from cash-strapped federal, state and municipal entities).

Click here to review the detail of AIA’s Consensus Construction Forecast Panel, including a list of the 7 individual forecast contributors.

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