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Mom, Your Snapchat Is Blocking the TV! CEDIA Makes 10 Bold Predictions for the Future

According to the CEDIA Technology Council, the future of the smart home will include projection mapping, adaptable and movable surfaces, high-res immersive video and the end of free TV.

Mom, Your Snapchat Is Blocking the TV! CEDIA Makes 10 Bold Predictions for the Future
In The Grand Budapest Hotel, director Wes Anderson used aspect ratios to depict different eras. For the action that takes place in the 1960s, the movie is displayed in the Cinemascope ratio of 2.35:1 – which was popular then. (Image: The Grand Budapest Hotel)

Ed Wenck · August 9, 2016

Dave Pedigo, CEDIA’s senior director of emerging technologies, and 16 volunteers created the CEDIA Technology Council, a group that discusses the advances — a better term might be "jumps" — in technology.

The group uses their combined knowledge to attempt to make concrete predictions regarding what’s next in the smart home industry. Their most recent project: creating a list of 100 predictions for the year 2020. Here are the top ten.

Prediction 1: Projection mapping will begin to appear on surfaces throughout the home.

Julie Jacobson, Tech Council member and CE Pro founding editor, remembers seeing a demo at the last CES in which small, hardly-visible projectors displayed images across kitchen surfaces.

In addition to providing ingredient lists and recipe instructions projected onto cabinets, images were flashed “onto a countertop, which could become hot pads on command. The hot spots would become inductive heat sources. You could interact with a video with a gesture.”

This technology also offers the ability to redecorate in a hurry. Think about a distortion-free striped or plaid pattern surreptitiously projected onto a neutral-colored couch. Sick of Tartan by next Tuesday? Tap the app and make it look like blue denim.

Prediction 2: All media and games will stream directly to smart displays that become apps on walls.

Sending the kids chasing a virtual Pikachu all over the house sounds like a pretty good way to wear ‘em out on a rainy day, right?

Jacobson says that as both short- and long-throw projectors gain the ability of gesture recognition, those devices will become more and more prevalent.

Prediction 3: Full-wall video with multi-screens will appear in the home.

Here’s something interesting: The first three predictions in this set of 10 all have an origin in commercial applications. This one — think of it more as digital signage than sports bar — will allow the user to have access to a wall that includes a weather app, a Twitter feed, a Facebook page, the latest episode of Game of Thrones and literally anything else a member — or members — of the family are interested in.

The unintended consequences? Some 13-year-old will one day actually utter the phrase, “MOM! Can you minimize your Snapchat already?”

Prediction 4: Adaptable and movable surfaces for video will appear.

In the video below you can see the concept at work. The practical application? Aspect ratios differ from medium to medium, from film to TV show; and if your name is Wes Anderson, even from shot to shot in a single film.

In The Grand Budapest Hotel, Anderson used those ratios to depict different eras. For the action that takes place in the 1960s, the movie is displayed in the Cinemascope ratio of 2.35:1 – which was popular then.

Anderson’s ratio drops to 1.85:1 to express present day and narrows the image further to 1.37:1 to give the film a real Golden Age of Cinema vibe.

Now suppose you had a screen in your home that simply adapted its physical shape to the aspect ratio of whatever you’re watching. Anderson’s film would wind up devoid of black bars on your adaptable screen. And that physical adjustment would apply to anything, whether it’s an NFL game, House of Cards or some Technicolor Hollywood epic. Say goodbye to letterboxing forever.

Prediction 5: Television screens could also take the form of movable tiles.

Tile TV 2.0 will be a screen that doesn’t fog up in the shower.

Prediction 6: High-res immersive video will become standard.

The home theater will soon become a 360-degree experience for both the eyes and the ears. Those who’ve worn high-end VR goggles know what a wild experience the visuals provide even at this nascent stage — by 2020, you’ll feel like you’re really in the movie, no headset required.

Prediction 7: Immersive audio will require fewer speakers.

“Gone are the days where you really need seven surround-sound speakers for 7.1 systems,” notes Jacobson. Primitive soundbars — wedging left and right directional speakers around a center-channel — were the first iterations of this concept, along with quality single speakers that could virtually provide a stereo sound image.

Prediction 8: Immersive personal audio will soon follow suit.

Yep, headphones that create an illusion that sound is occurring at a point in a virtual sphere surrounding the user’s head is coming — along with the aforementioned 11.1.4 system that’ll pop out of a single box.

Prediction 9: Physical media will be analog only.

As digital streaming services and platforms begin to satisfy even the pickiest audiophiles, you’ll see pricier vinyl. Pressers can’t begin to keep up with current demand for albums. (This, by the way, means the return of album cover art, which is great news for rockers of a certain age.)

Prediction 10: The end of (most) free TV: linear TV will be reduced to news and sports.

For every episode of House of Cards you binge-watched, some ABC exec poured a healthy belt of 12-year-old Scotch. And cried a little. On-demand TV content producers have proven that consumers will pay for the privilege of watching whatever whenever you please and the big holdouts among the cord-cutters have been sports fans.

That’s where the exceptions hit: Broadcast television will hang around for two kinds of content: breaking news (“THE TWISTER IS COMING!”) and real-time sporting events (“THE CUBS ARE LOSING!”).

Author Ed Wenck is content marketing manager for CEDIA. This article was originally published on CE Pro Europe.



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Home Theater · Displays · Projectors & Screens · Audio/Video · Events · CEDIA · News · CEDIA Expo · Virtual Reality · All Topics
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Comments

Posted by qubit88 on August 9, 2016

The first prediction: Projection mapping was something I saw in 2010 from Microsoft. They had a concept smart home and it had projection images on the kitchen countertops. First of all supremely bad idea, when cooking every square inch of space is taken up by all of the stuff needed for cooking, who is going to set aside an area for a projected image or video right near the countertop where you are prepping your dinner? Also the countertop would have to be spotless so that any text could be seen clearly. A overly complex solution to a simple task. A tablet would be better suited for this task or even a physical cookbook which has sufficed since the 16th century when the printing press was invented.

Posted by Julie Jacobson on August 9, 2016

Ed Wenck is a welcome addition to CEDIA! Nice job making sense of all the blathering we do on the CEDIA tech council.

Posted by Julie Jacobson on August 9, 2016

Ed Wenck is a welcome addition to CEDIA! Nice job making sense of all the blathering we do on the CEDIA tech council.

Posted by qubit88 on August 9, 2016

The first prediction: Projection mapping was something I saw in 2010 from Microsoft. They had a concept smart home and it had projection images on the kitchen countertops. First of all supremely bad idea, when cooking every square inch of space is taken up by all of the stuff needed for cooking, who is going to set aside an area for a projected image or video right near the countertop where you are prepping your dinner? Also the countertop would have to be spotless so that any text could be seen clearly. A overly complex solution to a simple task. A tablet would be better suited for this task or even a physical cookbook which has sufficed since the 16th century when the printing press was invented.